How the Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession in the Past 50 Years

The Yield Curve plots the interest rates on US Treasury Securities against different maturity periods. An inverted Yield Curve has served as a precursor to every recession in the US in the past 50 years and is flashing warning signs again. What is an inverted Yield Curve? What can simply observing bond yields tell us about recessions? And how does it hold such predictive powers over the economy? Our report simplifies the answers for the reader.

How the Yield Curve Predicted Every Recession In the Past 50 Years (2) (1)

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